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Tajikistan vs Uzbekistan: Economic Comparison 2026

Tajikistan (TJS) against Uzbekistan (UZS) across 16 indicators — output, prices, rates, external position and the productive-sector view at purchasing power parity. Data: World Bank, IMF WEO, Eurostat and national central banks, refreshed automatically. More on Tajikistan in the data terminal · Uzbekistan terminal.

Head to head

IndicatorTajikistanUzbekistan
GDP, nominal $bn 182025 1472025
GDP at PPP, intl $bn 572024 4322024
Population, m 10.82025 37.12025
Real GDP growth 2025 8.4%2025 7.7%2025
GDP forecast 2026 (IMF) 5.0%2026f 5.8%2026f
Inflation (CPI) 5.5%2026e 7.2%2026e
Policy rate 7.00%01 Jul 14.00%17 Jun
Unemployment (ILO/WEO) 6.9%2025 4.6%2025
Current account, % GDP -2.1%2026f -4.8%2026f
Gov. debt, % GDP 28.2%2026f 32.9%2026f
Food, % of household spend 43.3%2021 33.6%2021
Remittances, % GDP 47.2%2024 13.7%2024
Credit to private sector, % GDP 12%2023 31%2025
Trade openness, % GDP 59%2024 57%2025
Price level index (US≈100) 312024 342024
Population growth 1.83%2025 1.88%2025
Green = the stronger reading where direction is unambiguous (growth ↑, inflation ↓, debt ↓, food share ↓). Inflation marked e = IMF WEO annual-average forecast where monthly data lags. Period shown per value.

Productive sectors · Sapir view

Agri %Industry %Productive shareProductive GDP, PPP $bn
Tajikistan 202423.132.455.5%32
Uzbekistan 202417.732.049.7%215
Goods-producing base (agriculture + industry incl. construction) valued at PPP, following Jacques Sapir's argument that services-heavy nominal GDP understates industrial economies. Source: World Bank WDI.

Trends

Quick answers

Which economy is bigger, Tajikistan or Uzbekistan?

At market exchange rates Uzbekistan: $147bn vs $18bn nominal GDP (2025, World Bank). At purchasing power parity: 57 intl $bn vs 432.

Whose productive base is larger?

Valued by the Sapir method (agriculture + industry incl. construction at PPP), Uzbekistan leads: $215bn vs $32bn (2024/2024, World Bank).

How high is inflation in Tajikistan?

5.5% expected 2026 average (IMF WEO).

How much do households in Tajikistan spend on food?

43.3% of consumption (2021, World Bank ICP 2021).

How high is inflation in Uzbekistan?

7.2% expected 2026 average (IMF WEO).

How much do households in Uzbekistan spend on food?

33.6% of consumption (2021, World Bank ICP 2021).

More comparisons