Wednesday, July 1, 2026 The English edition of ostwirtschaft.de Newsletter
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Central Europe Economic Terminal

Auto-updated from primary sources · 01 Jul 2026, 22:52 CET
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Poland key rate 3.75%, CPI 3.3% · Czechia key rate 3.75%, CPI 1.8% · Slovakia key rate 2.25%, CPI 3.5% — from 10 primary sources. Below: cross-country matrix, productive sectors at PPP (Sapir view), 24-month trends, structural signals incl. food-spending shares and quick answers.

BRENT$71.23-2.3% GAS TTF€43.15-0.7% GOLD$4,049+0.7% WHEAT¢601+3.5% COPPER$6.16-0.5% EUR/USD1.1383-0.1% USD/PLN3.77+0.1% USD/CZK21.31+0.1% USD/HUF312.600.0% BRENT$71.23-2.3% GAS TTF€43.15-0.7% GOLD$4,049+0.7% WHEAT¢601+3.5% COPPER$6.16-0.5% EUR/USD1.1383-0.1% USD/PLN3.77+0.1% USD/CZK21.31+0.1% USD/HUF312.600.0%

Key indicators latest available · period shown per value

CountryFX / USDFX Δ1YCPI YoYKey rateReal rate GDP 2025GDP 2026fGDP 2027f Unemp.C/A %GDP 2026fDebt %GDP 2026f
Poland 3.774PLN +4.6% 3.3%May 2026 3.75%01 Jul +0.5% +3.6% +3.1% +3.0% 3.0%Apr 2026 -0.7% 64.3%
Czechia 21.31CZK +1.7% 1.8%May 2026 3.75%01 Jul +2.0% +2.6% +1.8% +1.9% 3.1%Apr 2026 -0.6% 45.6%
Slovakia 0.879EUR +3.4% 3.5%Jun 2026 2.25%01 Jul -1.3% +0.8% +1.7% +2.5% 5.8%Apr 2026 -1.5% 64.3%
Hungary 312.60HUF -7.7% 2.3%May 2026 6.00%01 Jul +3.7% +0.5% +2.6% +2.8% 4.6%Apr 2026 +1.1% 73.4%
FX Δ1Y: change vs USD over ~12 months, + = currency weakened. CPI marked e = IMF WEO annual-average forecast, shown where monthly national data lags more than 4 months. Real rate = policy rate − CPI YoY. GDP 2026f/2027f: IMF World Economic Outlook forecast. C/A = current account balance. Turkmenistan: manat officially pegged at 3.50/USD since 2015; use official data with caution.

Productive sectors · Sapir view agriculture + industry incl. construction, valued at PPP

CountryAgri %Industry %of which Mfg %Productive shareGDP PPP $bnProductive GDP PPP $bn
Germany ref 2024 0.9 25.6 18.0 26.5% 6,143 1,630
France ref 2024 1.3 17.2 9.6 18.5% 4,288 794
United Kingdom ref 2024 0.6 17.1 8.0 17.7% 4,293 761
Poland 2024 2.5 27.2 16.1 29.8% 1,874 558
Czechia 2024 1.9 29.2 19.9 31.1% 625 194
Hungary 2024 2.7 23.8 15.9 26.5% 464 123
Slovakia 2024 1.6 28.9 16.3 30.5% 261 80
Method: following Jacques Sapir's argument that services-heavy nominal GDP understates the weight of economies with large goods-producing sectors, this table values the productive base (agriculture + industry incl. construction, share of GDP) at purchasing power parity. Germany, France and the UK shown for reference. Source: World Bank WDI, latest available year per country. Sector shares are value-added shares of GDP.

Beneath the surface structural signals

CountryFood % of spendPrice level idxRemittances %GDPCredit %GDPTrade %GDPPop. growth
Poland 18.8%2023 55 0.9% 34% 97% -0.34%
Czechia 15.8%2022 63 1.3% 48% 128% -0.17%
Slovakia 19.4%2024 59 2.1% 60% 170% -0.15%
Hungary 16.7%2022 53 2.5% 32% 141% -0.50%
Food % of spend: household spending on food and non-alcoholic beverages as share of consumption — the classic Engel signal, poorer economies spend more (Germany: ~12%). Sources: Eurostat national accounts (EU members), World Bank ICP 2021 benchmark (others). Price level index = nominal GDP ÷ PPP GDP × 100 (US = ~100). Low values signal an undervalued price level — the gap Sapir's PPP argument exploits. Remittance shares above 10% signal external dependence on labor migration. Source: World Bank WDI, latest year.

Quick answers live values, auto-updated

What is Poland's key interest rate?

3.75% — official policy rate, as of 01 Jul. Source: Narodowy Bank Polski.

How high is inflation in Poland?

3.3% year-over-year, May 2026.

How much of their spending do people in Poland put toward food?

18.8% of household consumption goes to food and non-alcoholic beverages (2023, Eurostat (national accounts)). Germany for comparison: about 12%.

What is Czechia's key interest rate?

3.75% — official policy rate, as of 01 Jul. Source: Czech National Bank.

How high is inflation in Czechia?

1.8% year-over-year, May 2026.

How much of their spending do people in Czechia put toward food?

15.8% of household consumption goes to food and non-alcoholic beverages (2022, Eurostat (national accounts)). Germany for comparison: about 12%.

What is Slovakia's key interest rate?

2.25% — official policy rate, as of 01 Jul. Source: European Central Bank.

How high is inflation in Slovakia?

3.5% year-over-year, Jun 2026.

How much of their spending do people in Slovakia put toward food?

19.4% of household consumption goes to food and non-alcoholic beverages (2024, Eurostat (national accounts)). Germany for comparison: about 12%.

What is Hungary's key interest rate?

6.00% — official policy rate, as of 01 Jul. Source: Magyar Nemzeti Bank.

How high is inflation in Hungary?

2.3% year-over-year, May 2026.

How much of their spending do people in Hungary put toward food?

16.7% of household consumption goes to food and non-alcoholic beverages (2022, Eurostat (national accounts)). Germany for comparison: about 12%.

Sources & update cycle

Czech National Bank · European Central Bank · Eurostat · Eurostat (national accounts) · Eurostat HICP · ICE/NYMEX/CBOT via Yahoo Finance · IMF World Economic Outlook · Magyar Nemzeti Bank · Narodowy Bank Polski · World Bank WDI. Exchange rates, market and commodity data update hourly; policy rates daily; CPI, industrial production and unemployment monthly on release; GDP, sector and structural data with World Bank/IMF revisions. Values marked CHECK have not been confirmed by the source in over 60 days. Compiled by Eastern Economy — no investment advice.